Sat 13/05/2017 - 17:52 EDT

Warriors vs. Spurs Series Betting Preview

Warriors vs. Spurs Series Betting Preview
The Western Conference Finals matchup we've been waiting two years for is finally upon us: Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs. And now that it's here, will this sparring live up to expectations? Can the Spurs hang with the Dubs? We talk you through it so you can bet with confidence.

Can the Spurs keep up with the Warriors in the West?

Golden State Warriors (-1060) vs. San Antonio Spurs (+680)

The Golden State Warriors were always going to be decided favorites for their series with the San Antonio Spurs. They have yet to lose a game in these playoffs, while the Spurs are coming off two taxing six-game sets.

Once San Antonio ousted the Houston Rockets, it was more a matter of how much Golden State would be favored by. Would the sportsbooks give the Spurs a chance? Would they provide some hint, any hint, that the Warriors would be vulnerable to the Spurs’ unending relevance?

We have our answer.

And that answer is no.

Sportsbooks are not giving the Spurs even a remote hope. It doesn’t matter that they won the season series 2-1, or that each of their two victories came by more than 20 points. The Warriors are indomitable. They have coasted to this point, with an 8-0 playoff record, and any real threat should be met with a flipped switch that draws them further away still from the competition.

It seems cruel, because the Spurs are amazing and, more importantly, adaptive. But these numbers aren’t wrong. Looking at the big picture, San Antonio doesn’t have a great opportunity to upend Golden State. 

It mostly comes back to style. The Spurs prefer to play at a calculated pace—a snail’s speed. They emphasize half-court efficiency, seek to eradicate all transition threats from the other team and hope that by controlling the possession battle, they’re putting themselves in position to beat anyone.

But the Warriors are no strangers to operating in the half-court. Limit their number of possessions, and you still have to worry about three-point barrages. Though the Spurs showed they could neutralize the Rockets’ three-point onslaught by dropping back on pick-and-rolls and sticking to standstill shooters, the Warriors are a different beast. They have more shooters—better shooters—and run so much more off-ball action than Houston.

Perhaps the Spurs can expect to disrupt the Warriors’ flow on occasion. To win the series, however, they must do it four times in seven tries. And that’s not going to happen. And if, by some miracle, it does, they’re still left to contend with the Warriors’ half-court efficiency and general defensive suffocation.

Troubling still, it won’t be as easy to dictate terms in this series. The Warriors, most likely, aren’t going to counter the Spurs’ big lineups with sizable ones of their own. They will run out Draymond Green as a center, perhaps more than usual, in hopes of coaxing the Spurs into blinking first.

dubs

As of now, it’s not quite certain how head coach Gregg Popovich will respond to these moments. Kawhi Leonard, who is expected to play in Game 1 after missing San Antonio’s series-clinching Game 6 win over Houston with an ankle injury, can play some 4, but the Spurs don’t have a center capable of chasing around Green. 

Dewyane Dedmon is probably their best bet. Slot him at the 5, with Leonard at the 4, Danny Green at the 3, Jonathon Simmons at the 2 and Patty Mills or Dejounte Murray at point guard, and you have a nice mix of small-ball offense and defense. But will Popovich really chain LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol, two of the team’s three highest paid players, to the bench? We’re about to find out.

The scary thing, though? The answer to that query, and every single other one, probably doesn’t matter. It would be a genuine shock to see the Spurs win more than a game or two against these Warriors.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors (-1060) in six games

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NBA
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Away Score Home Money Line
Monday 23 October
FT Philadelphia 76ers 97 - 86 Detroit Pistons +145 -154 Odds
FT Atlanta Hawks 93 - 104 Miami Heat +500 -667 Odds
FT Memphis Grizzlies 98 - 90 Houston Rockets +290 -345 Odds
FT Charlotte Hornets 94 - 103 Milwaukee Bucks +220 -250 Odds
FT Warriors 133 - 103 Dallas Mavericks -1111 +800 Odds
FT Toronto Raptors 97 - 101 San Antonio Spurs +135 -141 Odds
FT Washington Wizards 109 - 104 Denver Nuggets +175 -189 Odds
FT Sacramento Kings 115 - 117 Phoenix Suns -141 +120 Odds
Tuesday 24 October
FT Chicago Bulls 112 - 119 Cleveland Cavaliers +1350 -1667 Odds
FT Brooklyn Nets 121 - 125 Orlando Magic +165 -189 Odds
FT New York Knicks 89 - 110 Boston Celtics +265 -278 Odds
FT Indiana Pacers 130 - 107 Wolves +480 -526 Odds
FT Pelicans 93 - 103 Blazers +175 -189 Odds
FT Utah Jazz 84 - 102 L.A. Clippers +175 -189 Odds
Wednesday 25 October
FT Denver Nuggets 93 - 110 Charlotte Hornets -127 +117 Odds
FT Wolves 101 - 122 Detroit Pistons +130 -145 Odds
FT Houston Rockets 105 - 104 Philadelphia 76ers -154 +135 Odds
FT Cleveland Cavaliers 107 - 112 Brooklyn Nets -294 +280 Odds
FT San Antonio Spurs 117 - 100 Miami Heat -152 +142 Odds
FT Indiana Pacers 96 - 114 Thunder +755 -1000 Odds
FT Memphis Grizzlies 94 - 103 Dallas Mavericks -149 +140 Odds
FT Utah Jazz 88 - 97 Phoenix Suns -294 +265 Odds
AOT Washington Wizards 99 - 102 L.A. Lakers -208 +198 Odds
FT Toronto Raptors 112 - 117 Warriors +700 -909 Odds
Thursday 26 October
FT Atlanta Hawks 86 - 91 Chicago Bulls +115 -125 Odds
FT Dallas Mavericks 91 - 96 Memphis Grizzlies +290 -323 Odds
FT Boston Celtics 96 - 89 Milwaukee Bucks +167 -179 Odds
FT L.A. Clippers 104 - 103 Blazers +115 -125 Odds
FT Pelicans 114 - 106 Sacramento Kings -102 -115 Odds
Friday 27 October
FT Houston Rockets 109 - 93 Charlotte Hornets -145 +125 Odds
FT San Antonio Spurs 87 - 114 Orlando Magic -208 +190 Odds
FT Denver Nuggets 105 - 100 Atlanta Hawks -256 +240 Odds
FT Brooklyn Nets 86 - 107 New York Knicks +120 -130 Odds
FT Thunder 116 - 119 Wolves -125 +115 Odds
FT Washington Wizards 117 - 120 Warriors +575 -714 Odds
FT Toronto Raptors 101 - 92 L.A. Lakers -233 +205 Odds
Saturday 28 October
FT Cleveland Cavaliers 101 - 123 Pelicans -135 +125 Odds
FT Boston Celtics 96 - 90 Miami Heat -112 +102 Odds
FT Thunder 101 - 69 Chicago Bulls -370 +335 Odds
FT Houston Rockets 89 - 103 Memphis Grizzlies +115 -125 Odds
FT L.A. Lakers 81 - 96 Utah Jazz +540 -556 Odds
FT Philadelphia 76ers 112 - 110 Dallas Mavericks -112 -106 Odds
FT Phoenix Suns 107 - 114 Blazers +635 -769 Odds
FT Detroit Pistons 95 - 87 L.A. Clippers +280 -313 Odds
Sunday 29 October
Milwaukee Bucks 15:30 Atlanta Hawks -200 Odds
San Antonio Spurs 16:30 Indiana Pacers -256 Odds
Denver Nuggets 18:00 Brooklyn Nets -185 +160 Odds
Orlando Magic 18:00 Charlotte Hornets +140 -161 Odds
Washington Wizards 18:00 Sacramento Kings Odds
New York Knicks 19:00 Cleveland Cavaliers Odds
Detroit Pistons 20:30 Warriors

Category : News

Tag : 2017 NBA Playoffs , Golden State Warriors , nba , san antonio spurs , Western Conference Finals

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