It may not feel like it but we’re about two months out from the NBA regular season returning. Now is the opportune time to research betting futures and props on the looming campaign — from individual player awards to conference winners. That’s exactly what we’re doing here as we’re about to lay betting advice on the next NBA MVP winner.
This player’s prop bet is available across the top-used online sportsbooks. At the moment, the oddsmakers are giving the following players the best MVP odds:
| Player |  |  |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid | +500 | +500 |
| Luka Doncic | +500 | +500 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | +700 | +700 |
| Nikola Jokic | +1000 | +1000 |
| Kevin Durant | +1000 | +1000 |
| Ja Morant | +1400 | +1400 |
| Stephen Curry | +1400 | +1400 |
| Jayson Tatum | +1400 | +1400 |
Do’s And Don’ts NBA MVP Betting Picks
Rather than just give you outright betting picks to win the NBA MVP, we’ll also be dishing out anti-picks — as in player’s you want to avoid at popular basketball betting sites. Heck, deciding who not to bet on is a perfect way to narrow down who does end up being your selection. We have two players for each category:
Do Bet Luka Doncic
Doncic is the odds-on MVP favorite and has every reason to be. The 23-year-old has been sensational through four career seasons, averaging 26.4 points, 8.5 rebounds and 8.0 assists per game while shooting 45.7 percent from the field. The man is a literal walking triple-double on the stat sheet.
However, the biggest variable to Doncic’s MVP chances will not be individual stats, it will be team success. Generally speaking, MVP’s contribute big time for title-contending team’s. Welp, we’re confident the Mavs will be in the championship conversation this year. This team “quietly” won 52 games despite Doncic missing 17 games and starting out 16-18. It led to a conference finals appearance, which were of the belief Dallas builds on.
Doncic has everything you want in a first-time MVP — youth, little injury history, “new narrative”, solid team, and so forth. That’s why he’s our go-to MVP choice.
Don’t Bet Joel Embiid
When Embiid is healthy, there’s perhaps not a more dominating player in the league. The big man led the league in scoring a year ago, averaging 30.6 points per game. He’s the first player at the position since Shaquille O’Neal in 2000 to win the scoring title. Embiid is the rare center who can take games over offensively and defensively.
But if you read the first sentence in the previous paragraph, we said “when healthy” — which is an oxymoron with Embiid. He’s almost a lock to miss 15 games next season, and that would probably be a best-case scenario. His 68 games played during the 2021-22 campaign was actually a career high. Unfortunately, it meant little because an injury ended up sidelining him in the playoffs. He’s turning 29 next season and we’d expect the injury troubles that’ve plagued his whole career to remain a thing.
Nothing against Embiid’s skills — which are top-5 in the NBA — but you need to stay on the court to be the most valuable player in the whole league. And we just don’t have confidence that’s happening with the big man.
Don’t Bet Nikola Jokic
Voter fatigue is an absolutely real thing with MVPs. It’s why the best or second-best player of all time, LeBron James, “only” has four NBA MVP wins. It’s why Giannis Antetokounmpo — arguably today’s most consistently dominant player — has failed to win MVP’s the past two years. Jokic, the two-time reigning MVP, will find out the hard way this year that voters love nothing more than a fresh story.
Jokic is an efficiency machine, ranking first in the all-encompassing metric each of the prior two years. Though, the Joker will need to do way more to warrant a three-peat MVP win — a feat that’s been done only three times, but not since 1986. Jamal Murray being out all of last year and Jokic being forced to carry Denver probably helped the big man’s MVP cause but that won’t be a factor this season. Jokic faces an uphill climb to become MVP once more, a battle we’re betting he loses.
Do Bet Giannis Antetokounmpo
As we mentioned a few paragraphs ago, Antetokounmpo is likely the best player in the world. Only 27 years old, he remains in the prime of his career too. The Greek Freak has rare two-way ability and could even threaten to win Defensive Player of the Year.
You probably knew everything we just said. But here’s something you likely don’t know: 2023 could be the final year of opportunity for Milwaukee. This team is starting to age beyond Antetokounmpo. Khris Middleton is 31, Jrue Holiday is 32, and Brook Lopez is 34. This closing window could propel the Bucks to a strong showing. If so, surely, the credit will go to Antetokounmpo, which aids his MVP hopes big time.
How To Bet On NBA This Season?
You can bet on the next NBA season at one of the online bookmakers listed below. Any and all NBA odds will be carried by these bookies, including the MVP bet we covered above. The sites also offer various sportsbook bonuses that can pay you free money. And given the current economy, who couldn’t use spare cash? Reference the table underneath to get started!
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