We’re inching closer and closer to the end of the NFL regular season. Week 14 presents one of the better betting opportunities left in 2023. You’re going to want to read this to get our three best bets for NFL Week 14.
- What: NFL Week 14
- When: First game is December 7
Moneyline: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
This is a game-of-the-week candidate featuring two of the best quarterbacks in the game — Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, who famously dueled back and forth in the NFL playoffs two years ago. When it comes to Buffalo vs. Kansas City, we’re most interested in betting the moneyline. Per the best NFL betting sites, here’s how the odds shake out both ways:
| Team |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | -140 | -140 | -140 |
| Buffalo | +120 | +120 | +120 |
This is close to a “must-win” game for the Bills. They are currently 6-6 and are on the outside looking in for the playoffs. But here’s the worst part: Buffalo is 3-5 in the AFC. Losing this game and dropping to 3-6 really crumbles their tiebreaker chances if they’re tied for a playoff spot. And it’s this exact desperation that leads us to pick Buffalo to get the upset win.
You see, the Bills had an extra week to prepare for this matchup — against an opponent they know all too well already. The Chiefs, on the other hand, are coming off a touchdown loss to the Packers. Buffalo has a real opportunity to use that added rest to catch KC off guard.
Allen has played well since offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey was fired. In two games since, he has 614 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions. Turnovers are Allen’s big bugaboo, but it’s a product of his playing style — aggressive and daredevil-esque. That will win out against Mahomes, who continues to struggle with mediocre weapons. Bills need this win more than the Chiefs, which makes its moneyline a worthy play.
Against The Spread: Green Bay Packers at New York Giants
Don’t look now but the Cheeseheads might’ve found a third quarterback in a row to be its franchise guy. Jordan Love is finally shining and feels like a worthy successor to Aaron Rodgers and Brett Favre. His recent play is why Green Bay are comfortable favorites over New York on Monday Night Football. Check out the game spread:
| Team | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay spread (-6.5) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| New York spread (+6.5) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
A few months ago, the Packers were 2-5 and there were serious doubts about Love’s long-term future. But five games later, those concerns have been quelled. Green Bay finds itself now 6-6 and in prime position to make a playoff run. An uptick from Love is a big reason for the turnaround. During this stretch, Love is competing 66 percent of his throws for 11 scores and just two picks.
If Love outdueled Mahomes this past weekend, do you really think he can’t do the same to Tommy DeVito? To be fair, DeVito has led the G-Men to consecutive wins — albeit against downtrodden teams like Washington and New England. Though there’s a chance Tyrod Taylor, who’s coming off an injury, supplants DeVito as starting QB come Monday. Honestly, neither option is comforting for New York if we’re being honest. An injury-prone player versus a third-stringer is a lose-lose.
This has the potential to be a runaway win for the Packers. You really have to ride their momentum — they’ve beaten two 9-3 teams in a row — and bet on them to cover the spread.
Over/Under 43 Points: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Let’s not forget about over/unders bets, particularly in the Lions and Bears matchup this weekend. Oddsmakers have set the point total at a very modest 43 points number, as seen below:
| Outcome | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42 points | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Under 42 points | -110 | -110 | -110 |
This over/under feels a bit too low for us. Low because Detroit’s defense is becoming a major red flag. It was exposed back in October when Baltimore put up 38 points on the Lions. Since then? Detroit has allowed at least 26 points in five of six games. One of those was even against Chicago — that game ended 31-26. Against, tell me why this over/under is barely 43 points?
Lions are lucky to have an explosive offense. They’re still 9-3 and fighting for the NFC’s lone bye week. So we expect Detroit’s scoring trends to continue both on offense and defense.
As for the Bears, they do have the benefit of coming off a bye week. Yes, its attack has been got and sold all year, but two weeks to prepare should help tilt the scales. We’re smashing the over in this divisional matchup.
How To Bet On NFL Week 14?
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