Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Pick Em) at Los Angeles Rams (Pick Em)
|Tampa Bay Bucaneers||Pick (-110)||+1 ('+107)|
|Los Angeles Rams||Pick (-110)||-1 (-113)|
In what some believe is an NFC Championship preview, the online oddsmakers are split on this matchup. Some bookmakers have it at pick 'em, while others have LA as the slightest of favorites. We're less indecisive and are picking the Rams to win straight up.
Why? Well, we're not quite impressed with what we've seen out of the Tampa Bay defense after two games. Against a very subpar Falcons team last weekend (at home no less), they gave up 348 yards of offense and 25 points. Sure, the Bucs defense came up with big-time turnovers — three interceptions, including two that were returned for scores — but it looked very beatable. This came on the heels of allowing a 400-yard outburst from Dak Prescott in the opener.
We're of the belief those defensive woes continue against a Rams team that's clicking offensively. Matt Stafford led a pair of fourth-quarter drives in week 2 vs. the Colts to regain the lead. Him and Cooper Kupp are becoming quite the one-two tandem. After two games, Kupp is currently tied with the most receptions (16), second in TDs (three), and third in yards (271) among all pass-catchers.
Fairly or not, Stafford has the reputation for coming up short in big games during his career. He knows it, the Rams know it, the whole NFL knows it. You don't think that'll motivate him all the more against the reigning Super Bowl champs? We sure think so, hence why we're gambling that Stafford and company outlast Tom Brady in a high-scoring showdown at SoFi Stadium.
Betting pick: Los Angeles Rams moneyline
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5)
|Los Angeles Chargers||+ 6.5 (-104)||+ 6.5 (-104)|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-6.5 (-116)||-6.5 (-116)|
If you haven't figured it out by now, the Chiefs are seemingly incapable of covering spreads. No, seriously! In their last ten regular-season games, Kansas City has covered only one time. Once!
And now they're getting almost a touchdown spread on a division rival? Yeah, we're not quite sure about that one. In the Josh Herbert era, the Bolts are 3-3 against division foes. Those three losses? They were by three points (in overtime against the Chiefs), one, and five.
The question with any Kansas City opponent is whether they can keep the scoring pace with Mahomes. The Herbert-led Chargers certainly can. They are a pass-first attack, hence 88 attempts from Herbert so far on the year — second-most in the league.
Whether it's a wire-to-wire game or a blowout that requires some late-game garbage time points, Herbert can keep the margin of victory under a touchdown. We're betting the underdogs on the road, no sweat about it either.
Betting pick: Los Angeles Chargers (+6.5)
Over/Under 48.5 Points: Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants
|Atlanta Falcons||Over 48.5 Points (-108)||Over 48.5 Points (-108)|
|New York Giants||Under 48.5 Points (-112)||Under 48.5 Points (-112)|
Both teams are coming off high-scoring losses. New York lost to Washington 30-29, while Atlanta dropped a 48-25 game versus Tampa. Look, neither team is particularly good. And when that's the case, game-changing mistakes are common. Heck, we saw it last week with two pick-sixes from Matt Ryan.
We believe these two winless teams will keep the scoreboard busy come Sunday. The Giants' Daniel Jones is emerging as a legit dual-threat signal-caller (he's "sneaky fast" a la Josh Allen) and it's in New York's best interest to stick with that style of play at home. Say what you will about Ryan, but it's tough to contain him from scoring. That dichotomy warrants betting the over.
Betting pick: Over 48.5 points
How To Bet On The NFL?
For all week 3 NFL betting lines, you need to pay a visit to one of the betting sites listed underneath. At any one of the sportsbooks, you'll find a plethora of NFL bets including spreads, over/unders, props, and even futures if you're looking for something more long-term (e.g. who will win the 2022 Super Bowl).
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