The finale of the Copa Del Rey goes down Saturday, May 6, and features two historic La Liga teams — Real Madrid and Osasuna. But one is used to this stage, the other is not as we’ll explain in this in-depth preview. By the end of this, you’ll have free bets to make on the Copa Del Rey championship that we believe will pay you out!
2023 Copa Del Rey Preview
We must start our 2023 Copa Del Rey preview with the latest betting odds. These are available at the top-used soccer betting sites, and what quickly becomes obvious is the disparity between the two teams. We mean, just look how favored Real Madrid is to win on the three-way moneyline:
Put simply, this is just another championship game for Real Madrid. They’ve “been there, done that” with this tournament, having won it 19 times. For Osasuna, it’s only their second-ever appearance in the final and they’re still looking for a maiden title. The organization has a 100-plus-year history, and an upset win here would be an all-time achievement for Osasuna.
For what it’s worth, Osasuna has overachieved so far. While they’re only ninth in La Liga, they’ve caught fire in this tournament. First, they upset defending champions, Real Betis, in the round of 16, then Sevilla, and most recently, Athletic Bilbao in the semis.
The clubs have faced off twice in La Liga this season. The first match in the Fall ended in a 1-1 split, while Los Blancos earned a 2-0 victory in March. In history, Osasuna has beaten Madrid just two times in 30-plus tries. All this is why Osasuna are such staggering underdogs.
2023 Copa Del Rey Betting Picks
There’s a litany of Copa Del Rey bets available, however, we’ve honed in on three that are most worth your time and money. Let’s dive into it:
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Per usual with soccer, the game’s over/under is set at 2.5 goals with the over being the clear betting favorite. Here are the lines both ways:
|Over 2.5 goals||-165||-165||-165|
|Under 2.5 goals||+130||+130||+130|
Both teams played flat in their recent La Liga match during the week. Madrid was blanked 2-0 by Real Sociedad, while Osasuna was also shutout 1-0 by Barcelona. With offensive performances like that, one might think the under is a sneaky bet to make.
One more important thing to follow is the status of Luka Modric and Karim Benzema. Even at 37 and 35 years old, respectively, the two veterans are what makes the Madrid offense go. Each is injured and in danger of missing this final plus the club’s Champions League game versus Man City. Modric exercised with teammates on Wednesday but no word whether he’s back in the lineup Saturday. Our hunch says the club might be precarious and hold one (or even both) back for this one. If we’re being honest, they probably believe they can win without either on the pitch.
We have to agree with that, but a fit Benzema and Modric certainly makes Los Blancos' attack way more dangerous. Therefore, we’re taking the under here. This might be a sluggish match more than oddsmakers are letting on.
We would be stunned if Real Madrid don’t win this game in regulation. Stunned! C’mon, let’s not fool ourselves, Osasuna has had a great run, but it’s also been flukey. The teams they’ve beaten up to this point have overlooked them more than anything else.
Will Real Madrid make the same mistake? Maybe to a certain extent, but even the club at 80 percent capacity is still miles ahead of Osasuna at 120-percent strength. Though, we do expect Real Madrid to come out with some fire. For all this team’s incredible success in the last 10 years, they haven’t won this cup since 2014. Madrid is the no-brainer bet to make here.
Alright, this next prop bet is a COMPLETE crapshoot. But we couldn’t help ourselves, ok? We mean, just look at the high betting odds (and potential paydays that come with that):
|Real Madrid 1-0||+550||+550||+550|
|Real Madrid 2-0||+500||+500||+500|
|Real Madrid 2-1||+650||+650||+650|
|Real Madrid 3-0||+650||+650||+650|
|Real Madrid 3-1||+850||+850||+850|
We’re on record saying that Madrid is winning and the game will be under 2.5 goals scored. That leaves us with two betting options — 1-0 or 2-0 for Los Blancos. So which is it going to be?
Our money is on Madrid winning 2-0. We wish we had a rational explanation for why, but with bets like these, you just have to “wing it” sometimes. The talent is simply too huge between each side, which should propel Madrid to this two-goal victory.
How To Bet On Copa Del Rey Final
There are dozens upon dozens of Copa Del Rey bets available right now. If you want a complete list of ‘em, we urge you to check out one of the betting sites listed below. Each of the five sites you see is there because they are rated high in our newest sportsbook reviews, especially when it comes to international soccer gambling.
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