Two undefeated super middleweights will headline one of the final Showtime boxing cards in history. For those wanting to profit off the boxing bout, this article is for you. We’re previewing the matchup and then offering our expert Benavidez-Andrade betting picks that’ll have you cashing out this holiday weekend.
- What: David Benavidez vs. Demetrius Andrade
- Where: Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
- When: Saturday, November 27
- Where To Watch: Showtime pay-per-view
Benavidez vs. Andrade Fight Preview
Let’s begin our preview of Benavidez vs. Andrade with a look at the latest moneyline odds. These odds are available at the best boxing betting sites around:
As you can see, Benavidez is a staggering favorite to win. The 27-0 fighter (23 KOs) has flashed world-class potential throughout his young career. Most recently, we saw him finish Caleb Plant in a 2023 fight-of-the-year contender. That’s a signature win that his opponent, Andrade, lacks.
Andrade is shockingly 35 years old (nine years older than his opponent). He’s racked up a 32-0 mark (19 KOs). However, it’s been against less-established fighters in non-PPV cards. The tape shows Andrade can scrap, but it’s hard to gauge how much against less-than-stellar competition. The lack of competition isn’t so much Andrade’s fault either. Many fighters, including Benavidez before, have seemingly avoided him, which one can only guess to as why (he’s legit competition).
Benavidez is being groomed to fight fellow Mexican, Canelo Alvarez — in what would be one of the biggest fights to make. Period. However, Andrade has a chance to play spoiler. Let’s get into our Benavidez-Andrade predictions next.
Benavidez vs. Andrade Betting Picks
You’re going to want to “spread the wealth” in this matchup. By that, we mean to make multiple Benavidez-Andrade betting picks. Here are three to start with:
Moneyline
We know Benavidez’s game plan in this fight cause it’s usually the same: play bully and be the aggressor. Benavidez’s aggressive fighting style has earned him the nickname “Mexican Monster” for a reason. He doesn’t have one-punch KO power. However, he does possess heavy hands that really add a cumulative effect over 12 rounds.
Andrade is a little less predictable. He doesn’t have the power of Benavidez, but he is far slicker — both with his feet and head. Andrade isn’t going to be a sitting duck in this fight one bit.
Here’s our main worry: Andrade’s age. Yes, he’s still slick, but probably not as much now at 35 as it once was. We have our doubts about whether Andrade can consistently dodge Benavidez’s heavy hands over 12 rounds. Eventually, Benavidez will get him and that’s when he takes over the fight. This is why we’re confidently picking Benavidez to win.
Over/Under 10.5 Rounds
From a betting value perspective, the moneyline odds leave a lot to be desired. A much more profitable bet is the Benavidez-Andrade over/under. Here’s how the line is being pegged at:
This is a prove-it fight for Andrade, and it might be the only one he ever gets. We’ve mentioned his age and we’ve mentioned how fighters have avoided him for years. This is finally Andrade’s chance to show who he is. We think that’s an X-factor most bettors aren’t considering.
Our money is going on the over. A make-or-break Andrade isn’t going to let himself get stopped early — no matter how aggressive Benavidez comes out. This one is going the distance, bank on it!
Prop Bet
Perhaps the best way to profit off this fight is the Benavidez-Andrade prop market. It’s loaded with bets, however, we’ve plunked out one worth betting on. It’s the exact outcome prop. The goal here is to pick who wins and how. The list of betting options is as follows:
Outcome | |||
---|---|---|---|
Andrade by Stoppage | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 |
Andrade by Decision | +575 | +575 | +575 |
Benavidez by Stoppage | +130 | +130 | +130 |
Benavidez by Decision | +135 | +135 | +135 |
Draw | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
Welp, you already know our pick here: it’s Benavidez by decision. Again, we just think his youth will outlast an aging Andrade over 12 rounds. Plus, if the fight does end up close, you can also find solace in knowing Benavidez, the more marketable star, is likely to get the decision.
But just look at the odds for this outcome at +140. That’s money compared to a -500 moneyline. Throwing money down on this prop is where the real money will be made.
How To Bet On Benavidez vs. Andrade
If you’ve read this article all the way through, then you have everything you need to bet on Benavidez vs. Andrade, except perhaps one thing: a reliable sportsbook. But hey, we got you covered here too. Check out the table below for a list of our favorite betting sites. All five you see rated highly on our latest sportsbook review.
Heck, all your boxing bets for Benavidez vs. Andrade can be free. That is if you leverage a sportsbook bonus for free play. There are hundreds to thousands of dollars in free play available off these bonuses — more than enough to bankroll this fight’s wagers. Again, the table has full details on what sites are offering what deals. Pick one and you’ll be betting with “house money.”