The NFL season keeps getting more and more unpredictable, which only complicates betting matters. But we’re here to help. We’ve researched the Week 11 NFL matchups and have narrowed in on three to focus your betting efforts on. For our free betting advice, keep reading!
Over/Under 41.5 Points: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos
Two of the most disappointing teams in the league this season meet in Denver this weekend and top NFL betting sites aren’t expecting much offense. Oddsmakers have given the Las Vegas-Denver over/under a measly 41.5 points, one of the lowest totals of Week 11.
Interestingly enough, these two had a shootout the first time they met in early October. That game, which took place in Las Vegas, ended with the hometown team taking a 32-23 victory. But a month and a half later, that feels like a millennium ago given how each team is playing. We mean, Raiders quarterback Derek Carr was moved to tears on Sunday after yet another team loss, this time to a debuting NFL head coach in Jeff Saturday and Indianapolis.
Las Vegas is at the point in the season where players give up on their head coach, theirs being Josh McDaniels. We’re not saying it’s quite happened yet, but it wouldn’t surprise us one bit if we start seeing signs of it soon, perhaps as early as this Broncos matchup. Raiders lack leadership, which has never been McDaniels strong suit. Heck, X’s and O’s are supposed to be McDaniels strength and even that’s missing. Vegas is averaging a middling 22.6 points per game this season despite a wealth of talent on that side of the ball.
We’ve been piling on the Raiders, but the Broncos certainly don’t get a pass either. They rank dead-last in points with a meager 14.6 points per game. While you might be able to blame the Raiders' offensive struggles on its coach, Denver’s ineptitude here is evenly-shared between its coach, quarterback, nonexistent run game, and so forth. There hasn’t been a single offensive spark for the Broncos this year and we don’t expect that to change as the season winds down.
Bet the under here. And this is the type of game you probably don’t even want to watch despite having money on it — that’s just how painful both offenses are.
Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings
Are the Vikings for real? That was a burning question around the NFL and we might’ve got our answer at last — yes, they are. Minnesota upset Buffalo on the road and in overtime in a game-of-the-year candidate. While we might be convinced, it appears sportsbooks are less so. That’s because Minnesota is home underdogs against Dallas, who dropped an overtime game of their own last weekend.
We’ll be honest: we have our own doubts about the Cowboys. Critics want to call the Vikings overrated — and they might be — but Dallas belongs in that category too. Dak Prescott was out of sync with his wide receivers on Sunday, as he sprayed balls and tossed two interceptions in defeat. The offense was carried by running back Tony Pollard, who might get his momentum cut if Zeke Elliott returns to the lineup, which he appears to be on track to do so.
We’re picking Minnesota to win straight up in this game. That Kirk Cousins to Justin Jefferson connection is starting to feel superhuman. Jefferson lit up a strong Bills defense for 193 yards and 10 catches, including one near-impossible catch on fourth down with the game on the line. The Cowboys' defense is equally good, but we wouldn’t be surprised if Jefferson torches ‘em too. Minnesota is 4-0 this season at home and we’re betting it becomes 5-0 after Sunday.
Against The Spread: Detroit Lions at New York Giants
New York is in the same category as Minnesota: surprising overachievers who many believe are overrated. The Giants have benefited from an easier-than-most playing schedule — featuring the two worst divisions in football, the NFC North and AFC South. That’s why we’re not surprised New York is only three-and-a-half-point favorites at home to a three-win Detroit team.
The Lions are perhaps the best bad team in the NFL. Aside from one shutout defeat, Detroit doesn’t know how to have a bad game. Almost every one of their games goes down to the wire. Earlier this season, the Lions were finding ways to lose games, but not anymore. Detroit came from behind 14 points and beat Chicago on Sunday, its second consecutive win of the season.
We have a sneaking suspicion this game will be decided by a single field goal. If so, that means the Lions find a way to cover the spread. The seven-win Giants aren’t talented enough to blow out opponents. In fact, none of their victories have been by more than one possession. Bet on Detroit to cover in a close matchup here.
How To Bet On NFL Week 11
For more NFL Week 11 betting lines, check out one of the bookmakers listed below. While we’re confident in our three picks above, you might have other thoughts on the betting slate ahead. Welp, these bookmakers have you covered in that regard. All featured sites ranked high in our latest sportsbook reviews so your money is in good hands here.
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