Eight teams, four games, and a whole lot of bets are available at the top betting sites for the NFL. If you need help betting the 2024 NFL divisional round, then we got you right here. Keep reading for one free pick on each matchup.
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens Bet
The Texans’ turnaround season ain’t finished yet — from the No. 2 overall draft pick to now fading the No. 1 seed in all the playoffs. In this game, the Houston-Baltimore over/under intrigues us the most. Have a look-see at the current odds:
| Outcome |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44 points | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Under 44 points | -110 | -110 | -110 |
We can’t be the only ones that sense that’s a tad too low, right? It’s the lowest point total of the four games, and we can imagine why: this Ravens defense is stingy. The Baltimore unit pulled off an NFL triple crown of sorts — finishing first in opponent points per game (16.5), takeaways (31), and sacks this year (60).
Even then, we’re not completely writing off CJ Stroud in this game. Do we expect him to go off on Baltimore? No, but he won’t be completely bottled up either. He keeps proving this rookie season is no fluke — and perhaps the best in NFL history. Stroud threw three first-half touchdowns against a good Cleveland defense so we expect some success vs. the Ravens. Take the over here.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers Bet
Phew, this game is going to draw some eyeballs as two of the most prestigious franchises do battle. To us, your money is best spent on the Green Bay-San Francisco spread. Here’s how it’s being pegged at:
| Team | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco spread (-9.5) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Green Bay spread (+9.5) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
We’re picking the Niners, and pretty confidently so. Green Bay trounced Dallas last week, however, that’s more on the Cowboys than the Packers. Jordan Love was throwing to wide-open receivers all game long thanks to elementary-level mistakes by the Dallas secondary. It won’t be nearly as easy against the No. 1-seeded 49ers.
San Francisco remains the most complete team in the NFL, maybe besides Baltimore. Two weeks of rest (the bye and not playing starters in Week 18) will do them well this game and the rest of the postseason. Expect a lopsided outcome.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions Bet
Who would’ve thought the Tom Brady-less Bucs and the long-tortured Lions would be playing for a spot in the NFC Championship game? Probably not many, but here we are. Have a look-see at how this improbable meeting is being handicapped at. As it stands, Detroit are comfy favorites over Tampa on the spread:
| Team | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit spread (-6.5) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Tampa Bay spread (+6.5) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
A lot of what we said about the Packers also applies to the Bucs. Yeah, they looked impressive in the wildcard round, stomping the Eagles 32-9. The score, however, is more of a reflection of its opponent than their own competence. Philly looked like a team that had given up. That’s the last thing you’ll see out of the Dan Campbell-coached Lions though.
Here again, we’re predicting a blowout. This Detroit team is peaking at the right time and get another home game. The Lions should win by at least a touchdown over the Bucs, bank on it.
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills Bet
The three previous games aren't believed to be competitive by bookmakers. However, no such thing exists in this AFC showdown. Just have a peek at how razor-close the Buffalo and Kansas City moneyline is:
| Team | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | -145 | -145 | -145 |
| Kansas City | +125 | +125 | +125 |
These two teams almost always go down to the wire when competing against each other. Who could forget two years ago in this same round when the Chiefs won a thriller 42-36 in overtime? What about earlier this year when the Bills went on the road and gutted out a 20-17 win — albeit controversially so? A go-ahead touchdown from KC was called back, which made Patrick Mahomes irate post-game.
All this is to say we expect another uber close matchup on Sunday night. The quarterback who holds the ball last could very well win it as time expires. For this reason, we’d rather just bet the game’s moneyline rather than spread.
As for who wins, we’re taking the Bills. Winners of six in a row, they’re red-hot, especially at quarterback. While Mahomes struggled this season behind a shoddy offensive line and a lackluster wide receiver corp, Allen might’ve had the best season of his career. Momentum for Buffalo and Allen is high, which we have to ride here. Take the Buffalo moneyline with confidence here.
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