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Eric Uribe | Mon 15/02/2021 - 11:41 EST

Mayweather vs. Paul Betting Picks

Mayweather vs. Paul Betting Picks
Two of the most polarizing figures on the Internet today — Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Logan Paul — will do battle inside a boxing ring. The circus-like event is guaranteed to draw eyes and bettors alike. Here's your complete guide to gambling on the event, including picks to win big!

Just when you thought things couldn't get stranger in 2021 after 2020, welp, they have. World-class boxer (albeit a semi-retired one) Floyd Mayweather will face social media "sensation" Logan Paul inside a boxing ring, and we're here to give you all the Mayweather vs. Paul betting picks you need ahead of it!

The circus begins on February 20, live on pay-per-view. Online sportsbooks have opened odds already and as you'd imagine, Mayweather is a staggering favorite across the board:

BetUSBovadaBetOnlineBetNowGT Bets
Floyd Mayweather-5000-1400-3000-3000-3000
Logan Paul+1500+750+1250+1300+1280

It's worth noting how wildly the above lines vary from betting site to betting site. For instance, you get much more favorable action at MyBookie (if you're betting Mayweather, at least). The difference at this bookmaker compared to, say, BetOnline is -1250 for a "Money May" victory — which is no small thing. In case you needed more evidence, always, and we mean always, shop betting lines beforehand to maximize your gambling value. 

With that said, let's dive right into the Mayweather-Paul matchup to see where's your best chance at making money come fight night:

Tale of The Tape

On one side of the ring, we have a 25-year-old prizefighter that stands at 6-foot-2 and hovers around 200 pounds. His opponent is an entire six inches shorter and 50 pounds lighter, and also 18 years his senior.

Based on that alone, you'd guess the younger and bigger fighter has a clear upper-hand. Such would be the case if not for in-ring experience.

The 43-year-old just so happens to be Mayweather — arguably the G.O.A.T. of the sport. "Money May" is a perfect 50-0 with wins against a whose-who of fight legends including Canelo Alvarez, Oscar De La Hoya, Manny Pacquiao, and even Conor McGregor.

The young guy is Paul, who holds a winless career mark of 0-1-1. Both bouts came against a fellow online influencer, KSI, during the last two-and-a-half years. However, for what Paul lacks in fighting experience, he makes up in social media followers — about 23 million on YouTube, 19 million through Instagram, and another 6 million on Twitter.

We know what you're thinking, "didn't this Paul guy just clean Nate Robinson's clock?" No, that was Paul's younger brother, Jake, who's actually won a boxing bout before unlike the elder Paul. 

Anywho, the Mayweather-Paul match is officially being dubbed an exhibition fight. No word yet on rules such as weight class, round time-length, and total rounds

Who Wins?

Mayweather, of course. No ifs, ands, or buts about it. While there's never a sure thing when it comes to sports betting — this is as close as it gets.

If all-time greats like Pacquiao, De La Hoya, Shane Mosley, and Juan Manuel Marquez couldn't beat Mayweather, what makes you think Paul — who's fought for all of two years before — can? 

The only reasonable argument in favor of Paul is Mayweather's age. He is 43 after all and hasn't been in a professional fight since 2017 against McGregor. Speaking of which, that's probably the closest comparison to Paul — but even then, it's not a good one. 

Like Paul, McGregor wasn't a trained boxer. The difference between McGregor and Paul, though, is at least "Mystic Mac" was a real fighter, albeit in the UFC. Furthermore, McGregor has a killer stand-up strike game that at least left you thinking, "what if he landed one flush punch across Mayweather?"

No such question exists for Paul, who's your everyday guy at the gym — fit, but nothing spectacular. We're not kidding you when we say if Paul were to somehow defeat Mayweather, it would be the biggest upset in all of sports history. Are you willing to take that one-in-a-million chance?

We sure hope not. If you want to burn your money, then be our guest. But no reasonable bettor would wager a dollar on Paul over Mayweather. Seriously, an upset isn't happening, folks.

Get More Value From Props

Look, you saw the odds at the start of the article, there's little money to be made betting Mayweather straight up. His odds are just too steep to provide any real value for bettors. The prop market is your better bet to reap the profits.

Currently, a site such BetOnline is offering these two props:

  • Will Logan Paul be knocked out — Yes (-400) or No (+250)
  • Will the fight go the distance — Yes (+200) or No (-300)

To answer these two, let's reference the McGregor bout again. In that one, Mayweather won via TKO in the tenth round. Do we really believe Paul can outdo McGregor's performance?

No way. That leads us to believe yes, Logan will be knocked out and no, the fight won't go to the judge's scorecard. Heck, we're so confident in both outcomes that we think this is worthy of a parlay. Throw in a Mayweather moneyline win to make it a three-leg ticket and really cash in the most money possible from this circus show.

Welp, there you have it. If you're looking for an online bookmaker to lock in your Mayweather-Paul bets, take a gander at the list below. Each of these sportsbooks holds its weight in terms of promotions, on-site features, and odds on this fight, plus other sports. 


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