NFL Week 5 is not short on bets to make at the top-used football betting sites. However, we think three games are especially worth your attention and money. Read this to get our most favorite bets of NFL Week 5 — expert advice that’s free of cost to you!
Over/Under 45.5 Points: Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints
|Over 45.5 points||-110||-110|
|Under 45.5 points||-110||-110|
Andy Dalton time in New Orleans? It might be and that will have a major influence on the over/under being bit in the Saints-Seahawks matchup. Dalton started in place of the injured Jameis Winston last time out, and actually sparked the Saints to its best offensive outing of the year. No starter has been named but one would think New Orleans would be smart to “ride the hot hand” and stay with the "Red Rifle."
Yes, that’s exactly how far the Saints have fallen. Three straight losses and suddenly, a middling player like Dalton is tasked with reviving the team. Any guesses on how this could end? We predict badly.
Speaking of middling players, Seahawks Geno Smith is having a career renaissance of his own. Here’s his stat line so far: 1,062 yards passing, six touchdowns, two interceptions, and a 108 passer rating. Stunningly, Geno has outplayed the superstar he replaced, Russell Wilson, who is off to a slow start in Denver.
Before you jump on the Dalton and Smith hype train, you have to remember this: consistency is what separates the great players from the average. If you make it to the NFL, you’re capable of breakout games — as both Dalton and Smith did in Week 4. But it’s another thing to do that on a weekly basis. We expect both signal callers to regress to the mean, which points to this game being an under.
Against The Spread: Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
This is the Monday Night Football matchup between two division foes. No surprise here, the Chiefs are comfortable betting favorites at home:
|Kansas City spread (-7)||-110||-110|
|Las Vegas spread (+7)||-110||-110|
Minus edge rusher Max Crosby, Las Vegas can’t find consistent production from any defensive player. No QB pressures. Missed tackles. Broken coverages. The Raiders defense has all these issues up and down the unit. Yes, they played decent last weekend against the Broncos — but how much is that from the defense’s own play, and how much is that Denver’s coach being in over his head? We say the latter is more to credit.
Las Vegas will not be able to rely on such with Kansas City. Nope, this team’s offense is one of the most well-coached and high-powered. They just hung 41 points on the road against a spectacle Tampa Bay defense. While we could laud many things about the Chiefs’ attack, we’re most impressed with its offensive line. Patrick Mahomes is not just being kept upright, but the quarterback has plenty of time in the pocket to make plays.
We think Kansas City will roll to victory on Monday in a rout. They appear to be the best team in the AFC, whereas Las Vegas is at the bottom. This is a mismatch waiting to happen, which should open the door for a cover by the Chiefs.
Over/Under 46.5 Points: New England Patriots at Detroit Lions
As bad as the aforementioned Raiders defense is, the Lions are worse. Seriously, this might be the most bottom-barrel unit in the whole NFL. Detroit has allowed at least 27 points every game, which is why we’re surprised this point total is set at a meager 47.5 points:
|Over 46.5 points||-110||-110|
|Under 46.5 points||-110||-110|
The low over/under is likely due to the Patriots' murky situation under center. Regular starter Mac Jones is for sure out with an injury. Backup Brian Hoyer exited last weekend with a concussion — an injury under heavy scrutiny league-wide at the moment. That means third-stringer Bailey Zappe could get the starting nod. But even this little-known player from Western Kentucky could thrive against the Lions’ inept defense.
Not that Zappe will be asked to do much besides protect the football and hand it off to the running backs. Averaging 128.5 yards per game, New England ranks third in rush offense behind a two-headed attack in Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson. That duo could be deadly against a Detroit run defense that’s giving up 165.5 yards per game — third most in the NFL.
However, we shouldn’t solely pile on the Lions. The Pats have similar struggles with its defensive unit, which is allowing 135.8 yards on the grounds per game.
Mediocre QBs or not, we expect points to fly off the board in this Patriots-Lions contest. In particular, running backs for both sides will go off. If they’re not popping off 30-yard runs individually then they’ll create opportunities for play-action with the throwers. Bet the over with confidence here!
How To Bet On NFL Week 5?
For a complete list of NFL bets for Week 5, hit one of the bookmakers listed in the table underneath. At any one of these sites, you’ll find the full gamut of NFL bets that go beyond just spreads and over/unders. Props, in particular, are very bet-worthy.
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