Thu 10/08/2017 - 12:26 EDT

The case for a Conor McGregor win

The case for a Conor McGregor win

A Conor McGregor win over Floyd Mayweather would rank as perhaps the greatest upset in American sports history. McGregor has a number of advantages over Mayweather ahead of their fight. So, is an upset plausible?

McGregor has some overtly obvious advantages

All odds brought to you by Bovada

For a guy who's never stepped inside a boxing ring, Conor McGregor sure has many convinced he might do the unthinkable come August 26 — end Floyd Mayweather's unbeaten streak. 

In Mayweather's last nine fights, his current -550 odds at winning is the third lowest — he was -200 against Manny Pacquiao and -300 versus Canelo Alvarez. That means sports books are giving McGregor more hope to pull off the victory against Mayweather than they did for established boxers like Marcos Maidana, Andre Berto, Miguel Cotto, Robert Guerrero, and Victor Ortiz.  

Odds

That might seem insane on the surface but it's not. McGregor has some obvious warts — none bigger than his lack of boxing experience — but he's also a mismatch for Mayweather in more ways than one.

Fighting is a young man's game and McGregor is entering his physical peak, having just turned 29 years old. Mayweather's worries extend past McGregor, he's also fighting father time. At 40 years old, even he admits age is catching up to him. 

"I know I'm not the same fighter I was 20 years ago, I'm not the same fighter I was 10 years ago... As a matter of fact, I'm not the same fighter I was 5 years ago," Mayweather has repeatedly said during the buildup to the fight.

It took a giant payoff from this fight for Mayweather to come out of his second career retirement. He last fought in Septemeber 2015 and there will be obvious ring rust come fight night.

You can't say the same for McGregor. Since Mayweather's swansong, McGregor has made his dent in UFC history. He's fought four times, including epic wins against Jose Aldo and Nate Diaz. 

The bout's 154-pound limit also favors McGregor. He's the reigning UFC lightweight champion at 155 pounds. Matter of fact, McGregor is considered "big" for a lightweight, even competing twice at 170 pounds. Meanwhile, Mayweather's weight class has fluctuated throughout his career but hovered around at 147 pounds pre-retirement. 

McGregor himself has predicted Mayweather's small stature will give him the edge. "His little legs, his little core, his little head, I am going to knock him out inside four rounds, mark my words," McGregor famously quipped at the press conference.

Make no mistake about it, if McGregor wins, it's coming from a devastating knockout. It would take a miracle for McGregor, with little boxing background, to stand in the ring and outpoint an all-time great. 

And McGregor certainly has knockout power. All but three of his 22 career MMA triumphs have come via ref stoppage. Of course, he famously ended Jose Aldo's almost-decade long win streak in 13 seconds from one punch. He'll need that same power — if not more — to end Mayweather's streak.

Method of victory

No doubt Mayweather will stick to the script and stay on the defensive. He ducks and dodges blows better than any boxer in history. However, he's never faced a wild card quite like McGregor. 

No one has any idea what McGregor's fighting style will look like. There's zero tape on him for Mayweather to prepare for in advance. But it's probably not going to be conventional — as in the tried-and-true orthodox or southpaw stance — as Mayweather is accustomed to seeing.

McGregor's movements could feign Mayweather into leaving himself open for the tiniest second. All McGregor needs is one opening before he can use his two-inch reach advantage to land that crushing blow.  

August 26 is going to be historic. If it ends up as shocking, it'll be because McGregor's youth, size, power, and unorthodox style caught Mayweather off guard. 

 

Category : News

More articles...
News - 25/11/22
Free NBA Bets For Thanksgiving Weekend 

If you’re like most, Friday the 25th is a day off after Thanksgiving. Rather than spend money on Black Friday shopping, perhaps you want to bet and actually MAKE money. If you fall into this category, you need to read this article which includes our best bets for the NBA Thanksgiving weekend. Against The Spread: […]

News - 25/11/22
Germany vs. Spain Betting Tips and Picks 

Two World Cup title favorites collide in the group stage in one of the most must-see matchups of the 2022 tourney. Don’t lay a dollar on Germany vs Spain until you read this. We have a match preview, plus two free betting picks on the Germany-Spain duel. Germany vs. Spain Preview You can’t preview Germany […]

News - 23/11/22
Three Best Betting Picks Of NFL Thanksgiving Day 

The only thing that could possibly make Thanksgiving day any better is stuffing your pockets with money from sports betting. Welp, the NFL will give you an opportunity to do so with three games on Thursday. Read this to get our best picks for NFL Thanksgiving — completely free of cost! Against The Spread: Buffalo […]

News - 21/11/22
England vs. USA Betting Tips and Picks 

One of the most anticipated matchups of the 2022 World Cup group stage is England vs. USA. The two distant rivals square off on Friday, November 25. Before we get to that point, you need to get our free England vs. USA betting picks. We got two that we’re confident will get you paid out […]