Tue 22/09/2020 - 05:45 EDT

Betting Guide For UFC 253

Betting Guide For UFC 253

Two title fights — for the middleweight and light heavyweight gold — headline the UFC 253 card on September 26. We have an in-depth betting preview to the co-headling bouts right here. Before you even think about wagering on the event, read this for valuable advice!

Another weekend, another star-studded card from the UFC. Here's how the current UFC 253 odds shake out, per Bovada:

Favorite bovada bovada Underdog

Israel Adesanya

-165 +135 Paul Costa 

Dominick Reyes

-230 +180 Jan Blachowicz

Leading up to the UFC event, it would benefit you to start comparing sign-up bonuses from sportsbook to sportsbook. Almost every site has a promo, but they'll vary in free play offered. Nonetheless, first-time players stand to earn a boatload of money by simply creating an account at said sportsbooks. 

Take BetOnline, for instance. They're currently running a $1000 sign-up bonus. That's a huge chunk of change, and with sports seemingly back, that's a great way to bankroll your betting on UFC and beyond!

A Close-Up Fight In The Main Event

Oh, boy, what a main event this one will be! Neither of these two has ever tasted defeat in their MMA careers, making it a tough bet to predict. The reigning middleweight champion, Adesanya, is 19-0 (14 KOs). Whereas the challenger, Costa, is 13-0 (11 KOs). 

Even more, these two have been trading barbs at one another for two years now. There's legit bad blood between the two young phenoms. And now, with championship gold on the line, this is a fight-of-the-year-caliber bout. 

To the untrained eye, Costa looks like the superior fighter. He's got one of the sport's best bodies and walks around 200-plus pounds with slabs of muscles everywhere. In contrast, Adesanya is tall and lanky, but with that, comes an eight-inch-reach advantage over Costa. 

This matchup puts a classic fight debate to the test — power vs. skill. Costa's best chance at winning is landing a flush shot to Adesanya early and pouncing on him for the knockout. However, we're not convinced he'll do that. 

"The Style Bender", as Adesanya is referred to, will duck and dodge Costa early. Moreover, fighting a five-round fight for the first time will be a disadvantage to Costa. Expect Adesanya to fight a "war of attrition" per se and outlast Costa to retain the middleweight gold. Bet on the champ to retain.

Betting pick to make: Adesanya (-165)

What Will Adesanya's Exact Method Of Victory Be?

In any UFC bout, one of the most fun props to wager on is the exact finish — knockout, submission, or decision. It's certainly a tantalizing prop in regards to Costa and Adesanya. 

Like we alluded to before, Costa's swing-for-the-fences fight style doesn't fare well in a five-round championship fight if he can't connect with that power punch early. After two rounds, once fatigue sets in, those types of fighters lose that knockout power that makes them so deadly at a full tank of gas.

That lack of stamina is what we expect to be Costa's downfall against Adesanya. It also doesn't help that Costa genuinely dislikes his opponent. Fighting at this main-event level is as much about keeping emotions in check than anything else and Costa's anger may get the best of him, especially early on.

While five of Adesanya's last seven fights have gone to decision, we see this one ending before that. A tired-out Costa in the late rounds will be mistake-prone against Adesanya. Using his stand-up boxing and kickboxing background, we believe Adesanya makes him pay with a knockout in the fourth or fifth round.  

Betting pick to make: Adesanya by KO

Reyes The Big Favorite In The Interm Title Match

This bout was created once Jon Jones vacated his light heavyweight championship, ending a storybook era in the weight class. For the first time in a long time, there'll be a new title-holder not named Jones or Daniel Cormier. 

Reyes is the odds-on favorite across the board to fill that void. Heck, many believe Jones vacated the belt to avoid a rematch fight against Reyes. Earlier this year, the two went at it at UFC 247, while Jones won by unanimous decision, it's perhaps the weakest he's ever looked in the octagon. Jones had to be carried backstage following the bout due to all the devastating leg kick Reyes landed during the matchup. 

We have to agree with the betting sentiment and pick Reyes to prevail here. Outside of that loss to Jones — a UFC all-timer in his own right — Reyes has won all 12 of his career fights. Seven ended by knockout, three by decision, and two via submission. 

He's an all-around fighter that can beat Blachowicz in whatever way he chooses. Our prediction is Reyes claims victory by stoppage. Blachowicz has a strong chin, but his last loss came via TKO to Thiagos Santos in 2019. 

Betting pick to make: Reyes (-230)

Other UFC 253 Main Card Fights

Of course, the UFC 253 card will be rounded out by a slew of other fights. Here's what's also scheduled to take place come Septemeber 26:

  • Women's strawweight: Claudia Gadelha vs. Yan Xiaonan
  • Featherweight: Hakeem Dawodu vs. Zubaira Tukhugov
  • Flyweight: Kai Kara-France vs. Brandon Royval 

If you're looking for all UFC 253 betting odds, check out one of the sportsbooks below. They'll have you covered for this fight card, plus all the others on the horizon such as UFC 254 that features the megafight between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Justin Gaethje. 

Signing up at any one of the below betting sites takes only minutes. Once you fund your account (and earn a sign-up bonus in the process), you'll be all set to gamble on UFC and other sports!

Category : News

More articles...
News - 18/05/22
2022 Indy 500 Betting Guide 

It’s almost Memorial Day, which can only mean one annual tradition in the world of motorsports — it’s Indy 500 time. The Indianapolis race goes down on Sunday, May 29 and we have a complete betting guide for the 2022 Indy 500 right here. You’ll want to read this through for up-to-date odds and, of […]

News - 13/05/22
Back Eintracht Frankfurt For Europa Glory 

Back Eintracht Frankfurt for Europa League glory in Wednesday’s final against Rangers. Who do Bettors Favor? Looking at the best sportsbook sites, we can see that the German team are the strong favorite going into this final. Eintracht Frankfurt are priced at around +130 with most sportsbooks, while their Scottish rivals Rangers can be backed […]

News - 13/05/22
2022 PGA Championship Betting Guide 

The second golf major of the year is days away — the PGA Championship, which runs from May 19 to May 22. Here’s a complete betting guide to the 2022 PGA Championship, which includes our picks to win, current odds, and an overarching preview of what lays ahead. We have to start with the betting […]

News - 12/05/22
Bet on the Tie in the 2022 FA Cup Final 

You can bet on the tie when Liverpool meet Chelsea at Wembley for the second time this year. Who do Bettors Favor? Looking at the best sportsbook sites, we can see that Liverpool will start as favorites at Wembley as they can be backed at Evens. Chelsea, their rivals for the League Cup trophy back […]