USA vs. Mexico Preview
Let’s begin our USA vs. Mexico preview with a look at what’s at stake — and it’s more than just bragging rights. As it stands, the countries are tied for second in the CONCACAF World Cup qualifying standings with 21 points (trailing Canada at 25). However, the United States owns the tiebreaker with a better goal-differential (+9 to +6). This is the third-to-last qualifier for each so there’s little margin for error to punch a ticket to Qatar. Only the top-three finishing teams earn an automatic bid to the World Cup (Panama is right behind each with 16 points in the table).
The game will take place at Aztecs Stadium in Mexico City — which has, historically, been a house of horrors for the US. Since 1949, the United States is winless in qualifier games taking place on Mexican soil. Its record stands at 0-12-3 mark in such games. Fans will be an-hand, which was not the case for Mexico in its two most recent qualifying home games (the crowd was banned by FIFA due to a homophonic chant).
Despite the historical precedence and rowdy atmosphere, one would think the USA would enter the matchup brimming with confidence. They’ve toppled Mexico three straight times, outscoring them 6-2 in those victories (all of which happened in US territory, though). Who could forget Christian Pulisic’s “man in the mirror” celebration — an open taunt to Memo Ochoa— last time out? Confidence indeed.
Mexico vs. USA Moneyline
No surprise, the top online sportsbooks have pegged El Tri as the favorites in the Mexico vs. USA three-way moneyline. Here’s where the odds stand currently:
| Result |  |  |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico | +115 | +115 |
| USA | +230 | +230 |
| Draw | +225 | +225 |
Honestly, the United States would be smart to play for the draw. As we said, they own the tiebreaker over El Tri and Azteca Stadium — with its high elevation and polluted air — just isn’t an easy place to play with a few days' rest. Not only that, but its most consistent player, Weston McKennie, is injured and out multiple more months. The US’ path to victory is small in Mexico City all things being considered.
But can Mexico capitalize and take three points? We don’t think so. This team just hasn’t played crisp since very early in the qualifying stage. This game has the makings for a draw, so we’re hammering that +225 line.
Mexico vs. USA Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Outcome | | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | +125 | +125 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | -155 | -155 |
El Tri’s offense — or lack thereof — is the main reason for its not-so-crisp play. Despite the presence of two clear-cut playmakers up top in Chucky” Lozano and Raul Jimenez, Mexico has scored just four goals in its past five qualifying games. It’s been a struggle to get the ball in position for either one, which many Mexican fans believe is due to manager Tata Martino’s bad lineups and/or lack of creativity, so much that it’s inspired “Fuera Tata” rallies calling for the coach’s job.
It’s hard for us to believe Mexico can score at least two times versus a team that very much has their “number” — little less without team captain Andres Guardado, who will miss the game due to injury. That’s why this game either ends in a 1-1 draw, or worse, a 0-0 snoozer. Like we said, the US is also not in a position to go off without its play-creator in the middle, McKennie. We’re taking the under here and not thinking twice about it!
How To Watch Mexico vs. USA
Anytime these two neighbors get on the pitch, it’s almost must-watch TV — and that’s no different this time around. Thankfully, there’s a multitude of ways to watch Mexico vs. USA on Thursday, March 24.
On TV, two networks will air the game live starting at 10 pm EST. First, there’s CBS Sports Network and there’s also Univision (for those that prefer to hear coverage in the Spanish language). Cord-cutters can also stream via the Paramount+ app.
How To Bet USA vs. Mexico?
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