Want to make money betting the NFL conference championship games? You NEED to read this then. We’ve analyzed both the AFC and NFC matchups and settled on the three best bets to take on the NFL conference championship weekend.
- What: AFC and NFC Conference Champion
- When: Sunday, January 29
AFC Championship Game Bet
The defending Super Bowl champs, Kansas City, meet the league’s best team record-wise in Baltimore. With as dynamic a matchup as this, you can almost guarantee the odds are quite even, which they are. Here’s how the best NFL betting sites have pegged the AFC championship game odds:
| Team |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore spread (-3) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Kansas City spread (+3) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
Don’t look now but the Chiefs look like the Chiefs again. A month or so ago, KC looked cooked. They had lost winnable games to the likes of the Bills, Packers, and Raiders. However, this Chiefs team has caught fire as of late and it’s not necessarily because of who you think, and that’s Patrick Mahomes. Yes, the game’s best quarterback is still doing his usual thing, but the turnaround is more because of a re-emergence of the running game. Against the Bills, the Chiefs averaged a whopping 6.1 yards per carry — helping take the burden off Mahomes.
We bring this up because it might be the X-factor of this game. You see, the Ravens have a league-leading defense in several important categories — points allowed, sacks, and turnovers. However, if Baltimore has one vulnerability on defense it’s stopping the run. They’ve allowed 109.4 yards per game on the ground, which ranks in the middle of the NFL. That’s an area the Chiefs can exploit to success.
Baltimore’s defense is so good that it’s easy to overlook the team’s offense which ranked fourth in points per game (28.4). Of course, Lamar Jackson is playing his way into a second MVP win right now. Yet our gut says the Chiefs contain Jackson and company. Why? Welp, you might be surprised to learn Kansas City allowed the second-least points per game this season after Baltimore.
All this is to say the Chiefs could very well steal this game and a fourth trip to the Super Bowl in five years. It’s really hard for us to bet against the modern-day dynasty so Kansas City is the pick. Bettors that want the risk can take their moneyline, but we’re settling for the spread. Even if they don’t win outright, they could lose a heartbreaker by two or one point and still cover.
NFC Championship Game Bets
Unlike the prior matchup, we’ll be making two separate bets on the NFC Championship game. Here’s what we’re taking:
Over/Under 51 Points
| Outcome | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51 points | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Under 51 points | -110 | -110 | -110 |
Whereas we had all the confidence in the Chiefs and Ravens’ defenses, we can’t say the same about these two teams’ units. The Lions' defense has been bad most of the season, and it’s only continued in the postseason. First, Matt Stafford torched them for 367 yards then Baker Mayfield did the same with 349 yards. This Detroit secondary is one of the NFL’s worst — which tells you just how good this Lions team has been elsewhere since they keep winning despite that.
San Francisco is regarded as having a top-notch defense, and that has been the case most of the year. However, you have to be puzzled at just how easily Green Bay moved the ball on them last weekend with a first-year starter in Jordan Love. Removing a kneel-down drive, the Packers took six of nine offensive drives to at least the 49ers 25-yard line. We could see Detroit and its high-powered offense faring just as well.
We’re firmly on the over here. A shootout could very well be on tap in the NFC Championship game — bank on it!
Spread
Oddsmakers are firmly behind the 49ers here, who are 7-point favorites over the Lions. Check out the latest odds:
| Team | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco spread (-7) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Detroit spread (+7) | -110 | -110 | -110 |
Once again, we’re betting on the underdogs to cover. Here’s why: edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson. Get this, the defensive end has eight sacks in the last four games alone. Since Week 1, he leads the NFL in pressures. We foresee Hutchinson getting to Brock Purdy, who has played pedestrian as of late. Heck, Hutchinson could even bait Purdy into a game-changing turnover.
We’ll stop short of saying Detroit wins. All we’re saying is they’ll keep it close, and maybe even lose a heartbreaker at the end.
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