Fourteen different games make up the week 10 schedule. While there are many good NFL bets to go around, we've hand-picked the three that we like most! Those matchups are featured below:
|Over 48 (-110)
|New England Patriots
|Under 48 (-110)
|Kansas City Chiefs
|Las Vegas Raiders
Against The Spread: Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) at Miami Dolphins (+7.5)
An against-the-spread line of seven and a half points would be on the high side most weeks — but not in week 10. That's because online oddsmakers have given double-digit spreads to five games, therefore, the Ravens-Dolphins Thursday night game is "in the middle" of the pack. But hey, we'll take it!
We fully expect the Ravens to blow away the Dolphins, just like they usually do. Here's a crazy but true stat: in the past three meetings between these teams, Baltimore has outscored Miami by a whopping score of 137-16. It's rare to get such a lopsided point differential (+126) in the NFL for a three-game span, but there you go!
More than anything else, these John Harbaugh-coached Ravens teams just seem to bully around the Dolphins. They win at the line of scrimmage with physicality and we don't see anything changing on Thursday. Miami has been undone by a terrible offensive line all season long and that spells trouble against a blitz-happy Baltimore defense.
And if that wasn't bad enough for the Dolphins, it'll likely be trotting backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett rather than Tua Tagovailoa, who has a finger injury. Tua sat out Sunday so he has only four days to get "healthy", which we seriously doubt happens. Brissett has a quarterback rating of 79.0 in four starts this year, which signals how ineffective he's been under center. Pound the Ravens spread here!
Moneyline: Cleveland Browns (+105) at New England Patriots (-125)
The Cleveland-Patriots moneyline is the closest of week 10, as it should be. Both teams are dead center in the wide-open AFC playoff race — each possesses a 5-4 record — and neither have been easy to get a "read" on.
Cleveland was left for dead a week ago after losing its third of four games. It was also embattled in drama with Odell Beckham Jr., who they eventually cut. And how did the Browns respond? By going into Cincinnati and blowing out a five-win Bengals team by 25 points.
It's clear that quarterback Baker Mayfield is BETTER without Beckham, not worse. In fact, it's no comparison. Since 2019 (Beckham's first year with the franchise), the Browns record, Mayfield's completion percentage, touchdown-to-interception ratio, and passer rating have all shot up when Beckham isn't playing.
Mayfield has another prove-it matchup against a so-so New England pass defense. Where the Patriots have had success this year is interceptions thanks to a league-high 13 picks. On the flip side, Mayfield's dink-and-dunk attacking style has protected the ball well with only three interceptions thrown in 2021.
We like Cleveland to steal this game on the back of Mayfield AND a strong defense. The Browns' high-flying defense will force Pats rookie quarterback Mac Jones to beat them, which we're not confident he can. The signal-caller has been way too inconsistent to evoke a bet from us here.
Against The Spread: Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5)
Our third free NFL pick is slated for the Sunday night primetime game. We're not going to mince words, we absolutely love the Chiefs against-the-spread line below three points.
Here's why: this is the part of the season where the Raiders begin melting down, just like they've done the past two seasons. In 2019, they dropped five of their last six games despite a promising 6-4 start. Last season, it jumped to a 6-3 start but finished 8-8. The seams appear to be coming apart again after losing a 23-16 stinker to the Giants last weekend, dropping the Raiders to 5-3.
Las Vegas' offense appears to be missing its fire. Its deep threat, Henry Ruggs, is long gone after a fateful DUI last week. Without his space-creation, quarterback Derek Carr was either holding the ball too long or forcing balls against New York. It all led to three turnovers on Carr's behalf and none of this will be fixed before Sunday.
Admittedly, the 5-5 Chiefs look as beatable as ever too. Kansas City has been held to 20 or fewer points in four of five games. Still, they're not reeling nearly as much as Las Vegas with its head coach and playmaking receiver both gone within a month span.
How To Bet NFL Online In 2021?
Want more NFL odds for week 10 — and heck, the rest of the 2021 season? You'll find them at one of the betting sites listed underneath. These same sites also have promotional bonuses that could score you hundreds to thousands of dollars in free play! Reference the table below to get started before NFL action begins on Thursday!