View All Sports Betting Sites
Sun 23/04/2017 - 16:19 EDT

NBA Over Unders On Monday

NBA Over Unders On Monday
Though only one NBA team is trying to stave off elimination from the first round of the playoffs on Monday, we're getting close to there being more. So there's never been a more crucial time to get your over/under wagering on! We take you through our favorites using TopBet's benchmarks.

By Dan Favale

Toronto Raptors (-6) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (+6)

Over/Under: 192

Believe it or not, this over/under feels almost generous. The average total score for the Milwaukee Bucks and Toronto Raptors has been 182.5 points—nearly 10 points lower than the offered touchstone. And, on top of that, the two squads have only combined to reach that total once. 

Once.

It bodes well for the final score that DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry seemed to hit their strides in Game 4, or at least came close to it. Both need to play up to snuff on offense for this tilt to have a chance at hitting the over.

But the Bucks' three-point defense was still tenacious, and the Raptors' own three-point prevention was right there with it. The two teams combined for just 10 three pointers in Game 4. Given this, as well as how the rest of the series has unfolded, there's nothing you can reasonably say or find, as of right now, to make the over feel like a good decision.

The Pick: Under 192

 

Atlanta Hawks (-2.5) vs. Washington Wizards (+2.5)

Over/Under: 211.5

This Atlanta Hawks-Washington Wizards has been, in a word, weird. The Hawks closed the season, over the final 31 games, as the worst offensive team in the league, ranking dead last in points scored per 100 possessions. They aren't especially good at spacing the floor, and the Wizards' best lineups, while slumping at the advent of the playoffs, have shown they can lock down for long periods of time.

Sounds like a good under series, even with Washington prone to nightly detonations, right?

Wrong.

 odds

The average score thus far has been 215. That mark has only been cleared in one game, but it's been close to getting eclipsed in all three. Only once, by the way, have they combined to score less than 212—and when they did, they totaled 210.

The reason isn't owed to especially efficient offenses. Both the Wizards and Hawks have had their moments, but neither of them are hitting an abnormal amount of threes or posting a top-10 playoff offensive rating. 

Instead, this has more to do with the pace. Only the Golden State Warriors-Portland Trail Blazers series has been played at a faster speed. We're seeing extra possessions, more than we're used to, which can be parlayed into extra even when you're not efficient. 

The Pick: Over 211.5

 

Portland Trail Blazers (+7) vs. Golden State Warriors (-7)

Over/Under: 219.5

This is a fairly low over/under for a Golden State Warriors-Portland Trail Blazers game. Two of the first three tilts have hit a combined score of 230 or more. Only in Game 2, when the Warriors handed the Blazers an absolute beatdown did the final tally miss the 200-point plateau.

The sportsbooks are accounting for 3-0 symptoms. It's hard for teams, like the Blazers, to put forth spirited efforts when they are down 3-0. If they fall behind, we could see a complete mental breakdown that effectively ends the game early and sees the offense pack it in.

That's not the Blazers' overall style, though. And the Warriors will be in for a defensive adjustment if Kevin Durant returns. They themselves might have a 3-0 series hangover, which adversley impacts defensive stands.

Basically, bet on this being closer to a shootout than a defense-oriented matchup.

The Pick: Over 219.5

Results / FixturesNBA

Category : News

More articles...
News - 15/01/21
UFC 257 Picks: McGregor vs. Poirier Fight Predictions 
UFC 257 Picks: McGregor vs. Poirier Fight Predictions

All eyes are on Conor McGregor in his in-ring return at UFC 257 against Dustin Poirier. The lightweight bout is actually a rematch more than six years in the making. We have an in-depth preview of the fight, along with free betting predictions!

News - 15/01/21
NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round Betting Picks 
NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round Betting Picks

Before you even think about betting the second round of the 2020-21 NFL playoffs, read this in-depth guide first. We're previewing all four matchups, plus offering up free betting predictions on each game — spreads, moneylines, over/unders, we're covering it all!

News - 15/01/21
Pegasus World Cup 2021 Free Picks 

Previewing the 2021 Pegasus World Cup with free picks and expert Pegasus World Cup handicapping. Knicks Go will take on True Timber and Tax in the $3 million race. The sister race is the $1 million Pegasus World Cup Turf.

News - 07/01/21
Mayweather vs. Paul Betting Picks 
Mayweather vs. Paul Betting Picks

Two of the most polarizing figures on the Internet today — Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Logan Paul — will do battle inside a boxing ring. The circus-like event is guaranteed to draw eyes and bettors alike. Here's your complete guide to gambling on the event, including picks to win big!