Wed 26/04/2017 - 02:16 EDT

Wednesday NBA Playoff Over Unders

Wednesday NBA Playoff Over Unders

Two Game 5s are on the NBA’s Wednesday night slate, and thanks to TopBet’s lines as of April 24, we have got your over/under bets right here!

By Dan Favale

Washington Wizards (-5.5) vs. Atlanta Hawks (+5.5)

Over/Under: 211.5

This Atlanta Hawks-Washington Wizards series is drunk. If you watched the Hawks at all during the regular season, you know this. They wrapped the schedule posting the NBA's worst offensive rating over the final 31 games. Their defense has been touted. This best-of-seven set had the makings of a gritty, grind-it-out, under-bet affair.

Alas, it has been everything no one expected. And more.

The average score through the first four games checks in, remarkably, at 214.3. And the reasons why vary.

First off, the Wizards' defense has not been great. John Wall is zooming in and out on the less glamorous end, essentially picking when and where he'll defend Dennis Schroder. Paul Millsap is also getting the best of Markieff Morris. The latter cannot stop the former's face-up game, and it's led to a ton of trips to the free-throw line.

And that's the other part of all this: Fouls.

The Hawks have the highest free-throw rate in the playoffs. The Wizards keep letting them reach the rim, where they're drawing contact, or fouling them on drives. All those extra points come when the clock stops, which inherently drives up the final tally.

Two of the previous four games have cleared the provided over/under, including the last one. This late into the series, though, coaches and teams make the most adjustments. So this, in turn, is the point when most defenses shine. 

It makes sense that this game would once again clear the 200-point benchmark, but investing in a 212-point or greater affair feels a little steep when the chess-match aspect of this series is reaching its peak.

The Pick: Under 211.5

 

Boston Celtics (-8) vs. Chicago Bulls (+8)

Over/Under: 202

This over/under is on par with the rest of the series. The Chicago Bulls and Boston Celtics are combining to average 201.5 points per game over their first four meetings—within a half-point of the listed odds.

Picking a side comes entirely back to the Bulls. We know the Celtics are going to score. Head coach Brad Stevens has unlocked some truly terrifying offensive combinations by going small full-time. The team is more athletic and the offense is able to do a better job spacing the floor since subbing Gerald Green into the starting lineup for Amir Johnson. Boston is essentially playing with five shooters at all times, which is super tough to defend.

The Bulls, however, are laboring through an offensive slump. They lost Rajon Rondo after Game 2 to a fractured right thumb, and they haven't been able to generate points in his absence. 

odds

In the 67 minutes he has played this series, the Bulls are scoring 114 points per 100 possessions. In the 125 minutes they've played without him, they're putting up 100.1 points per 100 possessions. During the regular season, this 13.9-point swing is the difference between ranking first and dead last in offensive efficiency. True story.

Multiple reports state that Rondo will try returning for Game 5. He practiced on Tuesday in a limited capacity, and though the fractured thumb is on his shooting hand, Rondo has been lauded for his toughness in the past.

Even if he doesn't play, the way the Celtics have been scoring should drag this score past the over—particularly if Bulls head coach Fred Hoiberg opts to let Jimmy Butler run the show should Rondo be unable to go.

The Pick: Over 202

Results / FixturesNBA

Category : News

More articles...
News - 07/12/22
Best UFC 282 Bets: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Picks 

2022 has been a banner year for the UFC. Before the year ends, the promotion is putting on one last pay-per-view with the UFC 282 on December 10. You’ll want to read this to get our expert betting picks on UFC 282’s top fights — free of cost too! Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev Betting […]

News - 07/12/22
2022 World Cup Quarter-Finals Betting Tips & Picks 

There are four star-studded matchups this weekend in Qatar and we have three betting picks on those 2022 World Cup quarter-finals games right here! Don’t bet on any matches until you read this and get our free expert betting advice on the round ahead! 3-Way Moneyline: Netherlands vs. Argentina We have ourselves a rematch of […]

News - 05/12/22
2022 World Cup Round of 16 Betting Tips and Picks 

The Round of 16 is where the contenders separate from the pretenders in the 2022 FIFA World Cup — and the same goes for bettors. If you need expert betting advice on this round of World Cup knockout games, then read this! We’re giving out winning picks for Morocco-Spain and Portugal-Switzerland right here! Handicap: Spain […]

News - 02/12/22
How To Make Money Off Fury-Chisora Fight 

Tyson Fury is defending his heavyweight world titles against Derek Chisora on Saturday, December 3. The two English countrymen will do battle at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. If you want to make money off the all-Brit fight between Fury and Chisora, then read this. We’re giving you a full betting analysis and picks on […]